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What will be the Emissions Trading System (ETS) price of carbon on 31st December 2017?

Energy & Environment
Tags: EU, ETS


Price (%)

< 5.0 €/t CO2


5.0 - 7.49 €/t CO2


7.5 - 9.99 €/t CO2


10.0 - 12.49 €/t CO2


12.5 - 14.99 €/t CO2


15.0 - 17.49 €/t CO2


17.5 - 19.99 €/t CO2


> 19.99 €/t CO2



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Background Information

The European Energy Exchange (EEX) with its registered office in Leipzig was established in 2002 as a result of the merger of the German power exchanges in Frankfurt and Leipzig. Since then it has evolved into a leading trading platform for energy and related products and has international partnerships. Clearing and settlement of all trading transactions are provided by the clearing house European Commodity Clearing (ECC). EEX is a member of Eurex Group.

On 30th June 2015 the ETS price of carbon according to EEX was 7.45 €/tCO2.
You can get further information at the EEX website EEX: European Emission Allowances
Judging Criteria:
The purpose of this question is to forecast the probability distribution for the price of carbon in EEX on 31st December 2017 for the abovementioned intervals.
You can buy or sell shares of the each answer according to your expectations until 2017-12-30 23:59:59 UTC.
The final answer to the question will be given according to the reporting data of the European Energy Exchange which are expected to be announced on 31st December 2017.
If the price of carbon is reported is reported within one of the boundaries of an answer, all shares of this answer will be worth 100 points and all shares of the others answers will be worth 0 points.

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